LHR Hold ML

Predict only · phase/geofence owns the real stack · actual-hold labels train ML
Stats Admin
Stage 1
Soft
Far out / weak margin — geometry prior. Hint only.
Stage 2
High
Stronger ML / sector. Still a prediction until a hold geofence fires.
Observed
Phase
Hold geofence sets stack_* — phase owns the real stack, not ML.
Learning
Actual hold
Label the hold it used. Strengthens predictions only — never overrides phase.
Accuracy
labelled outcomes
Labels
actual-hold buttons
Route patterns
learned keys
LHR inbound
live fleet
Soft / High
prediction stages
In hold
phase stack_*
Live stack loadBNN · LAM · OCK · BIG
BNN Bovingdon NW LAM Lambourne NE OCK Ockham SW BIG Biggin SE
How to trainfeeds ML
ML only predicts which hold an inbound will use. When it hits a hold geofence, phase sets stack_* and owns the real stack. Use Actual hold buttons to label outcomes and train the model — that never overrides phase.
Live LHR arrivals
CallsignHexAltNM PredStageConfMethodAltsPhaseActual hold
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CallsignHexNMAlt PredStageConfMethodActual hold
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Route keyTypical holdSamplesConfidenceMix
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WhenCallsignHexPredictedActualSourceResult
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